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Tel Aviv’s Rental Market Faces Unprecedented Downturn Amid Israel-Hamas Conflict

15 November 2023

In a significant shift in the Tel Aviv real estate landscape, recent months have witnessed a dramatic downturn in the rental market, a fallout from the escalating Israel-Hamas conflict. Once a bustling market where rental listings garnered immediate and overwhelming responses, the city’s rental scene now presents a starkly different picture: diminishing interest and plunging prices.

Real estate expert Dror Mangal, with two decades of experience in Tel Aviv’s Old North district, observes a marked increase in available apartments, a trend unseen in recent years. The conflict’s onset has triggered a noticeable dip in rental prices, a change that gained momentum around early October.

Mangal notes a shift in tenant behavior, with many seeking rent reductions, a stark contrast to the previous trend of escalating prices. This change is attributed to various factors, including military call-ups, family relocations, and academic schedule disruptions.

Tel Aviv’s real estate agents are witnessing a similar trend, with repeated advertisements for rentals, now often headlined with phrases like ‘rent revised’ or ‘flexible on price.’ Mangal highlights a significant price drop, with reductions ranging between 10-12%, as landlords adjust to the new market reality to avoid vacant properties.

The war has also altered renters’ priorities, with a heightened demand for apartments featuring security rooms. Properties lacking this feature are less sought after, leading to a slowdown in the market.

Ron Ackerman, CEO of AR Real Estate, echoes these observations. Despite offering apartments with security features, he confronts a near-complete halt in rental activity. He notes a general reluctance among potential renters to commit, fueled by uncertainty about the future.

Ackerman points out a lag in market adaptation among property owners, who have been slow to acknowledge the need for flexibility in pricing and contract terms. He forecasts a prolonged market stagnation, with a potential influx of immigrants having a minimal impact on the current scenario.

The third quarter report of Israel Land Development Co. (TASE: ILDC) underlines the war’s impact, noting a possible decrease in demand and a slower sales pace. Real Capital manager Tomas Harbon adds that the market has seen interest from residents in the south and foreign nationals, leading to a preemptive reduction in rental prices by savvy apartment owners.

The luxury apartment segment in Tel Aviv, already struggling pre-conflict, faces heightened challenges amidst the prevailing uncertainty. Mangal observes a significant downturn in this sector, with high rental costs becoming increasingly untenable for many.

In summary, Tel Aviv’s rental market, once thriving, now confronts a new reality characterized by reduced demand, falling prices, and altered tenant priorities, shaped largely by the ongoing conflict and its widespread psychological and economic ramifications.

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